Categories
Blog Uncategorized

IPCC’s Sixth Assessment Report Released

On 9 August 2021, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) released its sixth assessment report. Entitled ‘Climate Change 2021: the Physical Science Basis’, the report contains cutting-edge climate science findings from the IPCC’s 6th assessment report (AR6) reporting cycle, which will be completed in 2022. The report, which was approved by the 195 member governments of the IPCC, notes that the effects of climate change are intensifying, and that all parts of the planet are experiencing worsening weather events due to greenhouse gas emissions. Combining climate modelling and new evidence and methods, the report reaches the following conclusions (among others):

  • Human influence has unequivocally warmed the atmosphere, ocean and land. Global warming has caused widespread and rapid changes in the atmosphere, ocean, cryosphere and biosphere. This type of warming last occurred 125,000 years ago.
  • Global surface temperature has increased more rapidly since 1970 than in any other 50-year period over at least the last 2000 years.
  • The scale of recent changes across the climate system as a whole and the present state of many aspects of the climate are unprecedented over many centuries to many thousands of years.
  • The report estimates that 1.5°C of global warming will be reached in the early 2030s.
  • Human-induced climate change is already affecting many weather and climate extremes in every region across the globe. Evidence of greater extremes such as heatwaves, heavy precipitation, droughts, and tropical cyclones, and, in particular, their attribution to human influence, has strengthened since AR5.
  • Global surface temperature will continue to increase until at least the 2050s under all of the emissions scenarios currently considered. Global warming of 1.5 degrees Celsius and 2 degrees Celsius will be exceeded during the 21st century unless deep reductions in CO2 and other greenhouse gas emissions occur in the coming decades.
  • Increasing global warming causes increases in the frequency and intensity of hot extremes, marine heatwaves, tropical cyclones, and heavy precipitation. It also causes agricultural and ecological droughts in some regions, as well as reductions in Arctic sea ice, snow cover and permafrost.
  • Many changes due to past and future greenhouse gas emissions are irreversible for centuries to millennia, especially changes in the ocean, ice sheets and global sea level.
  • With further global warming, every region of the globe is projected to increasingly experience concurrent and multiple changes in climate. These changes would be more widespread at 2 degrees Celsius compared to 1.5 degrees Celsius global warming and even more pronounced for higher warming levels.
  • From a physical science perspective, limiting human-induced global warming to a specific level requires limiting cumulative CO2 emissions, reaching at least net zero CO2 emissions, along with strong reductions in other greenhouse gas emissions. Strong, rapid and sustained reductions in CH4 (methane) emissions would also limit warming and improve air quality.
  • Every tonne of CO2 emissions adds to global warming.
  • Temporary emission reductions in 2020 associated with measures to counter the COVID-19 pandemic had led to a small and positive net radiative effect (i.e. effect on warming influence). However, the report finds that the effects of this are minor given the temporary nature of these emission reductions.

Categories
Blog

Interview on Climate Litigation with Prof. Dr. Helen Keller

CRRP project coordinator Prof. Dr. Helen Keller recently spoke to Katrin Schregenberger of Higgs.ch about the potential and pitfalls of climate litigation. The interview covers the rising number of climate cases based on human rights arguments, corporate responsibility for climate change, and the argumentation in the Klimaseniorinnen case pending before the European Court of Human Rights.

The full interview (in German) is available here.

Categories
Blog

Online Workshop on the Legal Aspects of the Right to a Healthy Environment

On 7 July 2021, at 14h CEST, the Geneva Human Rights Platform will hold an online workshop on the legal aspects of the right to a safe, clean, healthy and sustainable environment. This workshop will take place as a side event to the 47th session of the United Nations Human Rights Council – co-organized with the Permanent Missions of Costa Rica, Maldives, Morocco, Slovenia and Switzerland to the UN in Geneva and co-sponsored by the Permanent Missions of Austria, Cabo Verde, Cyprus, Ecuador, Fiji, Germany, Mexico, Monaco, Panama, Portugal, Uruguay; OHCHR, UNEP, Center for International Environmental Law, Earthjustice, Franciscans International and Universal Rights Group. It will discuss the legal aspects of the right to a safe, clean, healthy and sustainable environment, the scope of the right, the legal aspects of a potential resolution on this right, as well as how it would contribute to address the global environmental crisis.

For more information, click here.

Categories
Blog

Samvel Varvastian, ‘The Advent of International Human Rights Law in Climate Change Litigation’

Samvel Varvastian has published ‘The Advent of International Human Rights Law in Climate Change Litigation’, 38(2) Wisconsin International Law Journal (2021), pp. 369-425. The abstract is below. For a link to the full text, click here.

Abstract

Despite growing concerns over climate change and the proliferation of national climate laws, global greenhouse gas emissions keep rising, while the impacts of climate change are increasingly becoming an existential threat to many human communities around the globe. In response to failing governmental action, the affected communities and nongovernmental organizations (NGOs) have turned to national and regional courts, as well as regional and international quasi-judicial human rights treaty bodies (hereinafter treaty bodies), to argue that inadequate responses to climate change violate internationally recognized human rights. Following the first attempts to bring claims based on international or regional human rights law (hereinafter human rights law) in climate change litigation in the first decade of the twenty-first century, the use of human rights law in climate cases has been on the rise over the last several years. This article provides a comprehensive assessment of human rights claims and their viability in climate cases decided by national and regional courts, and international and regional treaty bodies as of January 1, 2021. So far, human rights law has been used with mixed success: while some courts and treaty bodies have explicitly acknowledged that inaction on climate change violates or can potentially violate human rights, others have been much more hesitant to take this approach. However, in the latter case, the courts’ and treaty bodies’ interpretations of the applicability of human rights law in the context of climate change and environmental degradation appear to be flexible and open to further development. Coupled with the growing number of such cases globally and their increasing internationalization, these positive developments are likely to lay the foundation for a greater chance of success in future litigation.

Categories
Blog

Call for Papers: ‘Climate Change and the Rule of Law’, ECR session, 31 March-1 April 2022

The UCL Centre for Law and the Environment will hold a major conference on ‘Climate Change and the Rule of Law’ on Thursday 31 March and Friday 1 April 2022. The organisers have issued a call for papers for a session devoted to the work of early career researchers.

The full call for papers is available here.

Categories
Blog

Call to create an UNSR mandate on Human Rights and Climate Change

During the ongoing 47th session of the UN Human Rights Council (HRC), which is taking place from 21 June to 15 July 2021, a large number of NGOs and academics have issued a call to create the office of a UN Special Rapporteur on Human Rights and Climate Change. In an open letter, they have called for the creation of this mandate given that it “would enable the HRC to elevate its work on climate change in a systematic and sustainable way, protect people from runaway climate change and its unavoidable impacts, and promote respect for human rights in climate responses.” The letter was signed by 442 international, regional and national organisations, as well as a number of academics, and is available here, on the website of Franciscans International.

Categories
Blog

Rupert F. Stuart-Smith and others ‘Filling the Evidentiary Gap in Climate Litigation’

As climate cases proliferate, the question of how courts can use and assess scientific evidence takes on ever greater urgency. Addressing this question, Rupert F. Stuart-Smith, Friederike E. L. Otto, Aisha I. Saad, Gaia Lisi, Petra Minnerop, Kristian Cedervall Lauta, Kristin van Zwieten & Thom Wetzer have published ‘Filling the Evidentiary Gap in Climate Litigation’ in Nature Climate Change. Drawing on 73 examples of climate litigation, the authors assess the scientific and legal bases for establishing causation as concerns climate change harms, and evaluate the judicial treatment of scientific evidence. The abstract is below.

Abstract

Lawsuits concerning the impacts of climate change make causal claims about the effect of defendants’ greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions on plaintiffs and have proliferated around the world. Plaintiffs have sought, inter alia, compensation for climate-related losses and to compel governments to reduce their GHG emissions. So far, most of these claims have been unsuccessful. Here we assess the scientific and legal bases for establishing causation and evaluate judicial treatment of scientific evidence in 73 lawsuits. We find that the evidence submitted and referenced in these cases lags considerably behind the state of the art in climate science, impeding causation claims. We conclude that greater appreciation and exploitation of existing methodologies in attribution science could address obstacles to causation and improve the prospects of litigation as a route to compensation for losses, regulatory action and emission reductions by defendants seeking to limit legal liability.

For the full article, click here: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-021-01086-7.

Categories
Blog

Definition of ‘Ecocide’ as an International Crime

The Independent Expert Panel for the Legal Definition of Ecocide (IEP) has today issued its report on the international crime of ecocide. Commissioned by the StopEcocide initiative, the report drafts a new definition for potential inclusion in the Rome Statute of the International Criminal Court. This would be the fifth international crime contained in the Rome Statute, alongside the crime of genocide, crimes against humanity, war crimes, and the crime of aggression.

The panel, chaired by Philippe Sands QC and Dior Fall Sow, has defined the crime of ecocide as follows:

Article 8ter: Ecocide
1. For the purpose of this Statute, “ecocide” means unlawful or wanton acts committed with knowledge that there is a substantial likelihood of severe and either widespread or long-term damage to the environment being caused by those acts.

2. For the purpose of paragraph 1:

a. “Wanton” means with reckless disregard for damage which would be clearly excessive in relation to the social and economic benefits anticipated;

b. “Severe” means damage which involves very serious adverse changes, disruption or harm to any element of the environment, including grave impacts on human life or natural, cultural or economic resources;

c. “Widespread” means damage which extends beyond a limited geographic area, crosses state boundaries, or is suffered by an entire ecosystem or species or a large number of human beings;

d. “Long-term” means damage which is irreversible or which cannot be redressed through natural recovery within a reasonable period of time;

e. “Environment” means the earth, its biosphere, cryosphere, lithosphere, hydrosphere and atmosphere, as well as outer space.

The creation of a definition of ecocide carries clear symbolic importance. At the same time, over on the Opinio Juris blog, Kevin Jon Heller has noted that the definition, despite its terminological proximity to ‘genocide’, has little resemblance to that crime, given that the crime of genocide relates to protected groups and requires specific intent. Instead, he argues, it is much closer in nature and structure to a crime against humanity.

The choice to align the crime of ecocide with that that of genocide has been made, according to panel co-chair Philippe Sands, because of the resonance of the former and raise consciousness for environmental destruction. Discussing the definition on Völkerrechtsblog, he has reasoned that the aim of the report is to generate “a serious debate about the idea. It must be a definition that meets the standards of the current Rome Statute, one that could reasonably be inserted.”

The IEP considered that the element of mens rea under the Rome statute, i.e. the default mens rea contained in Article 30 of that instrument, was too strict to adequately capture environmental harms. It has therefore proposed “a mens rea of recklessness or dolus eventualis, requiring awareness of a substantial likelihood of severe and either widespread or long-term damage.”

The panel’s commentary to the definition, which is available here, also states that “[c]ulpability for the crime of ecocide attaches to the creation of a dangerous situation, rather than to a particular outcome. It is the commission of acts with knowledge of the substantial likelihood that they will cause severe and either widespread or long-term damage that is criminalised. The crime of ecocide is thus formulated as a crime of endangerment rather than of material result.”

Categories
Blog

Fourth climate case filed at the ECtHR

Today the submission of a fourth climate change case at the European Court of Human Rights was announced. This new application was brought by six young Norwegian climate activists aged between 20 and 27, along with two organisations who allege that their members’ lives, health and well-being are being directly affected by the escalating climate crisis. The six individual applicants also allege that, as young people, they are being disproportionately affected by the climate crisis.

The application concerns the Norwegian State’s decision to license continuing exploration for oil and gas in new areas of the Arctic (Barents Sea), and its intention to bring new fossil fuels to market after 2035.

Citing the seriousness and urgency of the climate crisis, the applicants allege that the respondent State has failed to take the precautionary measures of prevention and protection required under Articles 2 and 8 ECHR (the right to life and the right to respect for private and family life, respectively). They furthermore allege a breach of the prohibition of discrimination in Article 14 ECHR. during the domestic court proceedings, as well as a violation of the right of access to an effective domestic remedy under Article 13 ECHR.

The applicants have sought the application of the Court’s priority policy under Rule 41 of the Rules of Court. In the two already-communicated climate cases, Duarte Agostinho v. 33 Member States and Klimaseniorinnen v. Switzerland, the Court has granted the applicants’ request for priority. A third case has not yet been communicated, making this the fourth climate case pending before the ECtHR.

To see the full entry on this case in the CRRP database, click here.

Categories
Blog

New Publication: Benoit Mayer, Temperature Targets and State Obligations on the Mitigation of Climate Change

Benoit Mayer (The Chinese University of Hong Kong (CUHK) – Faculty of Law) recently published ‘Temperature Targets and State Obligations on the Mitigation of Climate Change’ , forthcoming in the Journal of Environmental Law. The abstract is below. For the full text, click here.

Abstract

The Supreme Court of the Netherlands in Urgenda held that States had a customary obligation to implement their ‘fair share’ in achieving the 2 °C temperature limitation target they had agreed upon. Yet, this article argues, the notion that States must adopt or implement mitigation action in line with temperature targets finds no support in treaty or customary law. States’ acceptance of temperature targets as a collective objective is relevant to interpreting the standard of due diligence applicable to mitigation obligations only inasmuch as this objective is actually reflected in consistent State practice. At present, temperature targets represent essentially an agreement on a direction of travel: the need for more mitigation action. Over time, the acceptance of this objective could facilitate further legal developments as States agree on particular implications of temperature targets and on a requirement that each of them acts consistently with its interpretation of these targets.

Keywords: Temperature targets, climate change mitigation, fair share, Paris Agreement, obligation, differentiation, requisite level of mitigation action